The Indiana Pacers overcame the odds to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder 116-107 in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, winning as 5.5-point underdogs. This victory keeps the Pacers' impressive postseason record against the spread intact, while the Thunder are now 0-8 against the spread on the road this playoff season. Despite being down 2-1 in the series, Oklahoma City remains favored to win the Finals at -250, while Indiana sits at +200.

As Game 4 approaches, the Thunder are 6.5-point road favorites, marking the largest spread for any road team in the NBA Finals since 1991. Notable performances have emerged, including Obi Toppin, who tallied 17 points in Game 1 but fell short in Game 3. Experts suggest betting on Toppin to score over 9.5 points in Game 4, given his recent performance. Meanwhile, Aaron Nesmith's assist line at 0.5 presents a unique opportunity for bettors, as he is expected to have a higher output moving forward. Isaiah Hartenstein is also predicted to excel, with opportunities to exceed 2+ assists based on his matchup against the Thunder's defense.