Kevin Durant’s move to the Houston Rockets redefines the Southwest. Houston, fresh off a 52-win surprise and a playoff flirtation, adds elite scoring and high-level playmaking in Durant, pairing him with Fred VanVleet and Alperen Sengun. The frontcourt depth arrives with Clint Capela and Dorian Finney-Smith, while Josh Okogie helps the wings. The offense should surge from 114.3 points per game, and the Rockets look like the team to beat in the division, with a real shot to challenge the West’s top-tier teams.

Dallas reloads around Kyrie Irving and Cooper Flagg after a controversial season, with Irving’s ACL trajectory a major x-factor. Flagg, taken No. 1 in 2025, joins a lineup that could feature Irving, Klay Thompson, Flagg, Davis and Dereck Lively at full strength—defensive length and offensive load rise accordingly. San Antonio stays on its rebuild path with Victor Wembanyama returning, Dylan Harper added at No. 2, and depth bolstered by Olynyk and Kornet, aiming for a Play-In push rather than a quick turnaround. Memphis contends with life after Desmond Bane, leaning on Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. for defensive cohesion and scoring, while New Orleans faces health uncertainties with Zion Williamson as the hinge for postseason hopes.

Overall, the division’s balance tilts toward the Rockets at the top if Durant stays healthy, with the Mavericks quietly reloading and the Spurs emphasizing development. The Grizzlies and Pelicans carry questions about ceiling and health, but the Southwest remains densely competitive heading into 2025-26.