Travis Kelce faces age and volume headwinds in 2025 as Kansas City diversifies its passing game with Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy and Hollywood Brown taking on bigger roles. Kelce’s career-best 2022 output (110 receptions on 152 targets for 1,338 yards and 12 TDs) contrasts with 2023-24 dips, and a 2024 target decline underscores the shift. Noah Gray flashed as a reliable secondary option, while Rice and Worthy appear ready for more consistent production. The forecast suggests Kelce remains a fantasy monster, but his target share could soften as the Chiefs spread balls around.

In this framework, 2025 projections lean toward a leaner KC aerial attack. Kelce is pegged for roughly 81 receptions on 113 targets for about 677 yards and 5 TD, signaling a step back in volume even as the offense remains lethal. Yet Rice, Worthy, and Brown could collectively push the Chiefs into a higher ceiling for the passing game overall. The note about a potential 90-target floor if Mahomes expands the playbook adds an optimistic yet cautionary tone for fantasy managers.

Bottom line for fantasy: Kelce remains elite, but Rice and Worthy stand out as high-upside sleepers, and Brown’s health could unlock additional weekly volatility. Noah Gray offers a safe tie-in option, while Mahomes’ propensity to diversify targets heightens upside for multiple Chiefs pass-catchers in 2025.