Drafting Patrick Mahomes in 2025 presents significant risks for fantasy football participants. Although Mahomes is heralded as a top-tier quarterback, his recent performance suggests he may not live up to his draft position. Over the last two seasons, he has struggled to maintain a consistent QB1 status, finishing outside of the top 8 in 2023 and 2024. In 2024, he only managed to rank as the QB11, his lowest career finish, which raises concerns about his value in upcoming drafts.

With a current ADP placing him as QB6, that value seems inflated, especially considering he hasn't performed at that level since 2022. While the addition of weapons like Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce could elevate his performance, the Chiefs have leaned less on him over the past couple of years, and his declining rushing ability further complicates his draft appeal. For those looking to improve their fantasy rosters, Mahomes may belong on the do-not-draft list for 2025.