Kansas City is Week 7’s chalk, a near-certainty lock with the biggest win probability and the broadest path to advance. Broncos sit as the clear next option, while Patriots, Bears and Steelers offer upside but carry risk on the road or with schedule quirks. Only about 13% of eliminator entries remain, making early, decisive usage crucial. The rest of the season unfolds with a mix of safe successors and late-season traps, so prioritizing KC this week is a high-confidence move.