Week 3 NFL survivor chatter centers on Seattle vs. New Orleans, a key NFC clash with Seattle as a 7.5-point favorite but notable injury concerns in the Seahawks’ secondary with Devon Witherspoon and Nick Emmanwori listed as questionable. The Saints counter with Spencer Rattler’s rising play, and the SportsLine Projection Model pegs a 38% upset probability for New Orleans, a figure higher than many Week 3 road options. The model, backed by a 37-17 run and a 10,000-simulation approach, has shifted opinions on several Week 3 favorites and offers a data-driven path for survivor pools.

Also in the mix are seven games with spreads of 6+ points, including Dolphins-Bills, Packers-Browns, Jets-Buccaneers, Raiders-Commanders, Chiefs-Giants, Lions-Ravens, and Saints-Seahawks. The piece highlights how savvy players are treating Week 3 not just as a set of favorites, but as a puzzle where value and risk are weighed against a long-term survivor strategy.