A refined NHL defense breakout model now targets blueliners likely to deliver true fantasy impact beyond sporadic scoring, focusing on age, experience, and a first sustained FPPG above a historical median. It flags defenders entering a true breakout window (roughly 23–27 years old, 170–380 games) who can push into top unit minutes and PP time, while accumulating hits and blocks that translate to fantasy points.

Among the names highlighted: Bowen Byram, Jamie Drysdale, Dylan Samberg, and K’Andre Miller, plus others who could unlock a real late-round upside if opportunity aligns. The framework aims to separate true contributors from depth players, guiding drafts with data-backed confidence.

Florida Panthers expect Matthew Tkachuk to miss months, out until December after offseason surgery to address a sports hernia and torn adductor. Tomas Nosek is out indefinitely after an offseason injury.

Tkachuk, who helped Florida win the Cup, had surgery in August and will use December to prep for USA Hockey at Milan-Cortina in 2026. He posted 23 playoff points in 23 games, including seven in the Cup Final vs Edmonton. The season opens Oct. 7 at home vs Chicago, with the Panthers navigating his absence.