Mikhail Sergachev’s Norris Trophy ceiling centers on offensive surge and zone-entry efficiency. Utah Mammoth’s top-liner logged heavy minutes, ran the power play, and led PK duties, but Norris voters prize all-around offense. To enter the Norris conversation, Sergachev would likely need a 80-to-90-point surge and fewer zone-entry concessions, signaling a true 1D duo capable of driving both ends of the ice.

His path mirrors elite contemporaries: Hedman’s steadiness, Werenski’s breakout, and McDonagh’s leadership. If Sergachev augments offense while tightening transition play, Utah’s rebuild could tilt toward contention as he anchors both leadership and production, reshaping fantasy value and playoff outlook.