The Red Sox and Padres collide in a Sunday rubber match with Boston holding the edge on the mound and in the lineup. Brayan Bello has been electric since July, delivering another six-inning gem recently and paving the way for a Boston win behind a steady bullpen and productive offense that sits high in runs per game. Dylan Cease has not matched Bello’s recent form, posting a higher ERA and FIP since the month began, setting up a favorable matchup for the Red Sox bats. Boston’s offense has the advantage in total runs per game, while San Diego has trended lower offensively, helping the under prevail in several recent outings. A Trevor Story prop intertwined with the run line adds intrigue given his struggle against Cease and his home-road splits, tipping the scales toward a low-scoring affair at Petco Park. The overall pick suggests Boston ML with Under 9.5 and Story under 1.5 total bases, a combination that leans on Bello sustaining success and a Padres lineup limited by Cease’s form and park dynamics.