Hitters trimming chase rates, boosting contact, and pulling the ball with more authority have posted stronger results in the second half. Nick Kurtz surges to a 220 wRC+ since mid-June, batting .342 with a .453 on-base and .743 slug since July 1, and 24 homers. Brayan Rocchio and Kyle Stowers follow, with Rocchio at 95 wRC+ since July 1 and Stowers at .306/.391/.634 in 39 games with 12 long balls.

Lenyn Sosa shows the biggest three-way gains, while Mike Trout adds power through increased Pulled Air%, even as overall numbers lag. Bo Naylor and Pete Crow-Armstrong post improved swing data but fall in results, underscoring the through-line: better plate decisions don’t always yield immediate fantasy dividends. The piece frames these process gains as bets for 2025 rosters.

In short, track O-Swing, Contact% and Pulled Air% as you project next season’s fantasy values, since those adjustments have real, trackable upside beyond the current season.

Milwaukee goes for a franchise-record 14th straight win as it hosts Cincinnati, riding Christian Yelich’s red‑hot form in a tight NL Central showdown. Yelich, who has 25 homers this season and has hit safely in 10 of 12, is the marquee HR prop at +310 for Saturday, with strong value on other targets like Kyle Stowers (+575) and Junior Caminero (+430) from a model-driven banner slate. The SportsLine projections emphasize long-shot HR bets and multi-leg parlays while noting Bello, Verlander and other notable matchups that could swing the prop market.

Four home run props headline Casey Wilson’s Thursday MLB slate, with Kyle Stowers, Marcell Ozuna, Kerry Carpenter, and Corbin Carroll each slated to smash one over 0.5 HR. Stowers meets Tanner Bibee at Progressive Field, Ozuna faces Kodai Senga in Queens, Carpenter hooks with Bailey Ober in Minnesota, and Carroll squares off at Coors Field against Bradley Blalock. The piece emphasizes a cautious four-pick round-robin and a small unit approach to protect bankrolls while chasing multi-HR payouts.

The weather window and venue tilt the odds in favor of big swings: Coors in Denver, East Coast hitting weather, and pitchers prone to the long ball. Each pick leverages recent splits—Stowers’ power vs righties, Ozuna’s hot run against right-handers, Carpenter’s success versus RHP, and Carroll’s heavy power against right-handed arms—creating a potential four-for-four card on a night where multiple sticks hit in form.

Shop odds across DK and FanDuel, keep the bets capped at four, and embrace the round-robin structure so a two-HR night can still pay while a single HR produces value. It’s a night built for high-variance, high-reward prop betting, crafted for fantasy managers and bettors who monitor weather, park factors, and bullpen usage as tightly as line movements.