The Yankees host Detroit in a pivotal three-game set with AL stakes high. New York trails Toronto by two in the AL East while Detroit sits a half-game up atop the AL Central, making this series a potential turning point. First pitch is 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday on TBS.

Will Warren faces Casey Mize in a marquee pitching duel. Warren has been better in the second half (3.55 ERA) and carries a genuine strikeout upside, while Mize has been solid when healthy but cooled a touch in July–August.

Bookmakers spot Warren at 5.5 Ks and Mize at 4.5, with SportsLine projecting Mize for roughly 5.2 punchouts. Judge sits as the top homer-prop favorite at +230, with Stanton and others in play. The projection model tilts Yankees roughly 59% to win, predicting a tight 5.3-4.7 final in simulations and Over 8.5 runs as a hedge.