The Philadelphia Phillies are aiming to solidify their lead in the National League East as they face off against the San Diego Padres for a three-game series. Currently sitting at 49-35, they hold a 1.5 game advantage over the New York Mets after a narrow victory against the Atlanta Braves. With a stellar home record of 26-14 and having won six of their last seven games at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies are favored to win, with Zack Wheeler on the mound boasting an impressive 2.45 ERA. The Padres, on the other hand, are looking to bounce back after a tough series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Wheeler has been a formidable pitcher, allowing two runs or fewer in 11 of his last 12 starts, giving him a strong edge against a Padres lineup that some analysts consider overrated. Despite their struggles, the SportsLine Projection Model suggests that San Diego could take this opener, with bets leaning towards them at +184. This matchup is critical for both teams, as the Padres strive to improve their standings while the Phillies aim to extend their lead.