Spencer Torkelson, the former No. 1 overall pick for the Detroit Tigers, is finally beginning to realize his potential in his fourth MLB season. Currently slashing .237/.346/.498 with 16 home runs and 47 RBIs over 68 games, Torkelson has established himself as a core player in a first-place lineup. His OPS against left-handed pitching is impressive at 1.051, making him a strong candidate for home run bets as he faces Wade Miley of the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday. His improved discipline has reduced his chase rate to 20.6%, ranking him in the 90th percentile among MLB hitters, a crucial factor in his recent success.

With Torkelson's recent form and favorable splits against Miley, sportsbooks have set his odds at +390 for a home run, which is notable considering that 168 of the 196 homers Miley has allowed were to right-handed batters. Torkelson, along with other players like Brent Rooker and Brandon Lowe, is featured in various home run prop bets this Sunday. With a proven projection model backing these picks, there’s potential for significant value in betting this weekend.