James Wood is the marquee homer play tonight at +600 as Washington faces Sean Manaea of the Mets. Wood has 25 homers this season and thrives against lefties, posting a .494 slugging mark versus southpaws compared with .463 against righties, a pattern that tilts the odds in his favor tonight. Manaea’s penchant for giving up homers (1.7 HR/9) in 2024 adds upside to Wood’s giant-play potential in a high-variance short slate.

Carlos Correa closes the night as a +900 longshot sleeper after rejoining Houston and flashing a .492 slugging since the deadline, a sign he can pop one against Brandon Young of Baltimore, who carries a 5.68 ERA and the HR/9 leakage that Correa can exploit. BetMGM promos add extra juice for new players, but the core angles remain: power upside against a vulnerable pitcher and a reduced upside ceiling for the underdogs. This nine-game slate lends itself to bold plays and careful exposure management.

Bottom line: leverage Wood’s lefty-smashing profile and Correa’s late-season spark for big-rate returns, while respecting risk on a tight MLB Thursday. The bets hinge on split data, homer pace, and a contrarian payout that could deliver a solid night for fantasy and sports bettors willing to chase the upside.