Friday’s MLB HR props spotlight four strong value plays: Reynolds, Rodríguez, Stanton, and Rooker. Reynolds carries a +500 shot at OVER 0.5 HR in a day game at Wrigley against Colin Rea, riding a streak of multi-HR weeks and solid righty power metrics. Rodríguez offers a +380 line versus Manaea, backed by a hot week and elite exit velocity. Stanton is a primary favorite at +280 after a timely IL return and 1.107 OPS over 21 days, facing Pallante in hot Busch Stadium conditions. Rooker checks in at +260 against Kikuchi, benefiting from his solid 1.017 OPS vs lefties and strong home power. Odds areDraftKings snapshots, but value gaps exist across sportsbooks for round robins.

Strategy hinges on batted-ball data, splits, weather, and park factors. Reynolds leans on right-handed pitching with power upside; Rodríguez thrives against lefties and in Mariners lineups; Stanton’s power profile and opponent matchup elevate his ceiling; Rooker’s lefty-friendly splits and home advantage boost his HR probability. This quartet provides upside without overpaying, ideal for multi-leg bets and balanced round robins. Shop for best odds to maximize the upside of each call.

The rivalry intensifies as the Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs for the second game of a critical three-game series. Following their 8-4 victory in the opener, the Brewers (63-43) have taken a narrow lead in the National League Central, edging ahead of the Cubs (62-44). Key to this matchup is the pitching duel between Quinn Priester, boasting a 9-2 record and a 3.28 ERA, and Colin Rea, who stands at 8-4 with a 4.06 ERA. Priester's impressive form includes three consecutive wins, while Rea has triumphed in four of his last five outings.

Betting lines reflect confidence in Priester, with sportsbooks offering a total strikeout prop set at 4.5, while Rea's is at 3.5. Interestingly, the SportsLine Projection Model has identified better value elsewhere on the schedule, highlighting three other pitcher strikeout props, with Tanner Gordon's matchup against the Guardians rated at 5 stars. Gordon's strong recent performance includes a previous outing with three strikeouts against the Cardinals, making him a compelling choice for fantasy players.

The Kansas City Royals face off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on July 23, 2025, with both teams battling to take the series. The Cubs showcased their strength in game two, winning 6-0, thanks to Matthew Boyd's stellar seven-inning performance. Now, Seth Lugo (KC) looks to bounce back after a rough outing while Colin Rea (CHC) aims to maintain his strong form. The current odds have the Royals as +120 underdogs against the Cubs at -142, with expectations set for a total of 10 runs.

As the season progresses, the Royals have struggled on the road, which could impact fantasy strategies. Notable trends include the Cubs performing well at home (7-3 in their last ten) while Kansas City has seen the total going under in 29 of 52 away games this season. Players to watch include Nico Hoerner, who has been productive since the All-Star break, along with Dansby Swanson, who is also in good form. With expert predictions suggesting a lean towards the Cubs on the moneyline and an under on the total, the stakes are high for daily fantasy players.

The Boston Red Sox, currently on a ten-game winning streak, are set to clash with the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. With strong performances, including a solid return from Alex Bregman, the Red Sox are looking to close the gap in the AL East, sitting just three games behind Toronto.

Lucas Giolito (6-1, 3.36 ERA) takes the mound for Boston, hoping to continue his impressive season against Colin Rea (7-3, 3.91 ERA) of the Cubs. The Cubs, leading the NL Central, boast a potent offense led by Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong, both pivotal in their successful run, where only the Dodgers have scored more runs than them this season.

The odds reflect a tight matchup with the Cubs favored at -128 on the moneyline and a total of 8 runs. Bettors should note the Red Sox's recent performance, having covered the run line in their last three road games. Expert predictions lean towards the Red Sox at +1.5 and a suggested over on the total runs.

The Chicago Cubs are facing a pivotal moment in their rotation amidst Shota Imanaga's hamstring recovery. With a 14-8 record since his injury, the team has relied on Jameson Taillon, Colin Rea, Matt Boyd, and rookie Cade Horton to step up, but inconsistency persists. Recent struggles were highlighted in a 6-2 loss to the Cincinnati Reds, where Rea's performance faltered, significantly impacting his ERA.

With the Cubs snapping a four-game winning streak, manager Craig Counsell's decision to employ Drew Pomeranz as an opener points to a strategic shift to address first-inning challenges, particularly with Ben Brown's struggles. Despite the bumps in the road, the Cubs are experimenting with unconventional methods in an effort to find a winning formula.