The St. Louis Cardinals face off against the Chicago Cubs in the decisive game of their weekend series, having split the first two games. The Cardinals took Saturday's contest 8-6, while the Cubs won the opener convincingly 11-3. Erick Fedde, with a 3-8 record and a 4.56 ERA, will start for St. Louis, while the Cubs counter with the impressive Matthew Boyd, who holds an 8-3 record and a 2.65 ERA. The betting odds give the Cubs the edge at -207, with a total runs over/under set at 7.5.

Recent performance trends favor the Cubs, who have won four of their last five games and six of the last ten against the Cardinals. The predictive model suggests the Cubs have a nearly 70% chance of winning, projecting them to win by an average score of 5.1 to 3.8, with St. Louis likely to cover the run line at +1.5.