The Chicago Cubs have implemented a strategic lineup change ahead of their key matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals. Manager Craig Counsell has elevated Michael Busch to the fifth position in the batting order, shifting Dansby Swanson down to sixth. While the change may seem minor, it could significantly enhance the Cubs' run production, given Swanson's struggles with runners on base.

Busch has emerged as a critical contributor to the Cubs' offense. With an impressive .293 batting average and notable stats this season, including 18 home runs and 56 RBIs, he has demonstrated exceptional performance with runners on base, boasting a .365 average with runners in scoring position. This adjustment may bolster the Cubs' already formidable offense, currently ranking second in the league for runs scored.

Matthew Boyd has emerged as a key player for the Chicago Cubs this season after signing with the team during the 2025 offseason. Despite previous struggles and injuries, Boyd has excelled, posting an impressive 2.65 ERA and an 8-3 record in 17 starts. His personal connection to the Cubs, stemming from his late grandfather's love for the team, adds a motivational layer to his performance. Boyd expressed his excitement about fulfilling a long-standing dream to play for Chicago.

With Boyd in the rotation alongside pitchers like Shota Imanaga, Justin Steele, and Jameson Taillon, the Cubs are in a strong position for postseason contention. His resurgence has not only contributed to the team's success but serves as a touching tribute to his grandfather, making this season even more special for Boyd.

Early in the 2025 MLB season, the Chicago Cubs faced challenges at third base, initially using Matt Shaw, who struggled with a .535 OPS and was sent back to the minors. After a better return, he managed a .608 OPS but remained inconsistent, leading the Cubs to explore alternatives. Reports indicate a strong interest in Ke'Bryan Hayes of the Pittsburgh Pirates, a Gold Glove winner with a superior defensive record and a .244 batting average. This potential trade could allow the Cubs to offload Shaw for a top pitcher, enhancing their postseason prospects, given Hayes' proven defensive skills and team control through 2030.

The Chicago Cubs face pressing needs ahead of the July 31 trade deadline, particularly in starting pitching. They are eyeing Mitch Keller, the 29-year-old former All-Star from the Pittsburgh Pirates, who boasts a 3.64 ERA despite a 3-10 record this season, largely due to insufficient run support from his team. Keller recently showcased his talent by shutting down the St. Louis Cardinals, making him an appealing target for the Cubs. However, acquiring him poses challenges due to his affordable contract through 2028 and high demand following his impressive performances.

To facilitate a trade, the Cubs may consider offering third baseman Matt Shaw, a 23-year-old with big-league experience. However, including Shaw could be seen as a downgrade if the Cubs also pursue Ke'Bryan Hayes from the Pirates. The Cubs' need for a reliable starter is crucial, especially with Jameson Taillon on the injured list.

The St. Louis Cardinals face off against the Chicago Cubs in the decisive game of their weekend series, having split the first two games. The Cardinals took Saturday's contest 8-6, while the Cubs won the opener convincingly 11-3. Erick Fedde, with a 3-8 record and a 4.56 ERA, will start for St. Louis, while the Cubs counter with the impressive Matthew Boyd, who holds an 8-3 record and a 2.65 ERA. The betting odds give the Cubs the edge at -207, with a total runs over/under set at 7.5.

Recent performance trends favor the Cubs, who have won four of their last five games and six of the last ten against the Cardinals. The predictive model suggests the Cubs have a nearly 70% chance of winning, projecting them to win by an average score of 5.1 to 3.8, with St. Louis likely to cover the run line at +1.5.