Carson Kelly rides a hot streak into a Cubs–Rays setup, offering a value HR prop as he’s mashed lately and routinely handles right-handers. The matchup leans in his favor with Baz on the bump and a Rays bullpen that has yielded several homers.

Josh Bell taps a favorable angle against Mitch Keller, using Bell’s recent power surge and Keller’s propensity to surrender homers, especially to righty hitters. The price on Bell’s over 0.5 HR is attractive given the season-long power and the favorable righty-righty dynamic.

David Fry is a deeper flyer vs Martin Perez, leveraging Fry’s lefty-mower profile and Perez’s velocity weakness. Guardians’ bullpen risk adds uncertainty, but Fry’s history against lefties makes this a compelling contrarian spike.

Jackson Chourio closes with a high-upside over 0.5 HR vs Pallante, riding a recent .981 OPS and lefty power numbers. Pallante has struggled to suppress left-handed thump, and Chourio’s recent form makes this a prime target in value-driven rounds.