Friday's MLB slate is packed with offense, and two matchups stand out for sharp fantasy bets. In Baltimore at Houston, the spotlight is on Framber Valdez against Brandon Young, a pairing that skews heavy toward Houston. The wager book leans toward an Astros win and a core Pena prop, banking on Pena reaching base and driving in runs as he thrives at home and against righties. Pena owns an elite contact profile and a robust at-home line, making the Over on 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI appealing while Valdez's home run suppression helps anchor the Under on outs in a likely six-inning outing.

In the NL West, Arizona visits Colorado with Coors Field's run-friendly backdrop. Tanner Gordon carries a rough 8.37 ERA and is targeted by Arizona's offense, notably Gurriel Jr., who crushes right-handed pitching and has produced big nights at Coors. A mixed bag SGP targets the D-Backs for five or more runs and Gurriel to reach 2+ total bases, complemented by Doyle to notch a hit in a weathered Coors contest. The playbook blends Alt totals with First-Five angles to maximize upside in a high-scoring environment.

Across both games, the themes are clear: leverage strong leadoff profiles, exploit favorable park factors, and lean into multi-hit/run-based props that capture the offense-first nature of the slate. If you want one clean throughline, it's Astros moneyline with Pena Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI and Diamondbacks Over Alt Total 4.5 with Gurriel 2+ Total Bases, plus Doyle to Record a Hit.