Houston and Detroit sit atop their divisions as Monday’s showdown at Comerica Park looms, with Spencer Arrighetti returning to the mound for the Astros after a rocky stretch that has him at 6.38 ERA this season. Detroit counters with Jack Flaherty, who has been-priced as a standout despite a 4.76 ERA and a 7-17 ledger in his starts this year. The Tigers are slight favorites at home, carrying a strong 39-24 mark at Comerica this season.
Riley Greene draws heavy attention in the props market, listed to homer at +425, a nod to his matchup against Arrighetti and his power surge versus right-handers (.289 this year, 26 HR vs RH). The total line sits at 8.5, nudging toward the over in a potentially high-scoring series opener given Detroit’s offense and Arrighetti’s command issues (11 walks in four starts) paired with Flaherty’s recent struggles (12 runs allowed in August across three starts).
In short, this one is shaping as a back-and-forth shootout: fade the Tigers if Flaherty isn’t on, but lean into the Over if Arrighetti can’t locate his control and Detroit gets early traction. Either way, Greene’s power upside and the Tigers’ home-ice edge make this a prime spot for fantasy and betting angles.
