Nationals at Royals sets up a pitcher-forward game as Cade Cavalli takes the mound for Washington against Bailey Falter of Kansas City. Cavalli will be making his second start of the season after a clean 4.1-inning showing against Oakland, while Falter looks for consistency after a rough road debut in Boston since being dealt from Pittsburgh. The sportsbook edges Royals (-150 ML) with Washington at +125, and the total sits at 9.0. The Royals have been solid at home of late, four wins in five, while Washington has scuffled, going 3-8 over their past 11. The model leans Royals on the moneyline, but nudges toward the Nationals in a 1.5-point spread and an under 9, reflecting a scoreline that could hinge on strong starting outings and bullpen execution late.