Wednesday’s four homer bets center on high-upside power to capitalize on favorable matchups, park quirks, and current form. O’Neill faces a lefty-friendly situation in Chicago, Olson rides a hot streak into a lefty-friendly matchup, Kurtz loves right-handed pitching at Fenway, and Witt Jr. hits in a wind-sensitive KC night against a HR-prone Seattle starter. The picks balance platoon splits, ballpark factors, and recent form to identify premium long-ball value.

Ongoing injury notes and bullpen usage are acknowledged, but the core edge comes from pitcher tendencies and ballpark tendencies. Shoppers should chase the best price across sportsbooks to maximize ROI on these 0.5 HR props, with a clear emphasis on lefty-lefty or righty-righty matchups and the middle innings where power tends to show up.

Stay sharp as weather, lineups, and starter changes can swing these props; the best bets come from disciplined pricing, not just raw power.