Detroit hosts Kansas City in a matchup that looks like a pitchers’ duel on paper, with Bergert facing Casey Mize. Bergert has come out to a 2.78 ERA through his first two turns, while Mize sits at 3.63 after a 12-4 record this season. The Tigers have been rolling lately (5-2 against KC this year; 7-1 in eight; 10-3 in 13) and own a recent edge at home against American League foes. Kansas City answers with a 6-1 run in seven games and a 10-4 clip in 14, and they’ve dominated the last three series before this set. Betting markets tilt Detroit, but KC’s offense is lurking as a sneaky contrarian play. The NBC model lines up with a Moneyline lean to Detroit, a +1.5 Royals cover, and a total around 8 with a slight nudge to the over.

From a fantasy lens, Bergert’s early impact makes him a viable streaming option against Detroit’s lineup, while Mize’s ability to miss bats could dampen Royals’ chances for big damage. Detroit’s offense could spark early and push runs in the mid-game, but the Royals aren’t going away quietly given their recent surge. The game shape favors a lower-scoring contest, yet a few swings could tip the total.

In short, this one feels like a contrast of hot teams with a veteran-pedigree starter on the mound and a rising rookie aiming to prove himself. If you’re chasing upside, Mize and Bergert both offer plausible fantasy paths in standard formats, with Detroit carrying the slight edge in the underlying matchup.