Toronto heads to Pittsburgh for a pivotal tilt with the Pirates, armed with an offense that has surged to the top of MLB averages since the All-Star break. The Jays sit five games ahead of New York and Boston in the crowded AL East, so tonight’s result carries extra weight for fantasy managers chasing stage-setting wins. FanDuel’s numbers lean Toronto on the moneyline (-144) and the -1.5 run line (+118), with an 8-run total. Mitch Keller’s form gives Toronto optimism; Keller has scuffled of late, while Max Scherzer has looked solid for Toronto this season.

With Paul Skenes not drawing the assignment tonight, Toronto will try to plate runs early and back Scherzer’s steady dose of run prevention. Keller’s recent 7.54 ERA over five starts is the key fade spot, and Toronto’s bats have reason to stay aggressive against Pittsburgh’s lineup. The betting angles suggest fading the Pirates and leaning into the Jays’ hot offense, while Keller’s spot starts a more favorable path for Toronto than expected.