PFF’s Week 2 props spotlight two high-leverage bets: A.J. Brown over 65.5 receiving yards and Tony Pollard under 18.5 rushing attempts, grounded in Week 1 usage, matchup edges, and injury context. Brown faces a KC defense leaning on man coverage, with Goedert trending, potentially boosting Brown’s target share. Pollard’s volume could dip if Titans game script shifts with Cam Ward’s first start and Rams at home as underdogs.

Two additional standouts draw attention: Ricky Pearsall’s 108-yard Week 1 burst for San Francisco and Malik Washington’s 20 yards on five targets for Miami. The PFF Player Prop Tool blends matchup data, historical hit rates and projected yardage/attempts to flag value in Week 2.

Week 2 bust watch: Ashton Jeanty could be leaned on for 15+ touches after Week 1, but his efficiency was limited and the Chargers loom as a tough run defense. Isiah Pacheco may slide back into a committee against Philadelphia, dimming upside. Michael Pittman Jr. faces Pat Surtain II, making a top-12 week unlikely. Keon Coleman’s Week 1 boom invites more defensive attention, potentially capping targets. Tyreek Hill’s ceiling could shrink behind a rougher line, while Kyle Pitts projects lower targets in ATL. Aaron Rodgers and Daniel Jones face tougher defenses, reducing Week 2 upside; Nick Chubb’s ceiling may dip behind Houston’s weakened run block; Dalton Kincaid remains touchdown-dependent.

Week 2 starts/sits hinge on matchup and game script. Avoid overreacting to one-good-week and lean toward safer floors in tougher spots. Several busts on this list carry risk of multi-week droughts if defenses key in. Use this guidance to pivot toward high-floor options in Week 2 where matchups allow.

Injury and pace will continue to matter, but this bust list isn’t doom. It flags where managers can tilt toward safer floor or higher-ceiling plays in Week 2 and beyond.

Week 1 pivots on three player-trend bets: Gibbs could explode as a receiver against zone looks, while Haason Reddick faces a Falcons line with Elijah Wilkinson stepping in; Malik Washington’s return-game impact could grow under the new kickoff rules. Trevor Lawrence benefits from a favorable Panthers matchup, Rashod Bateman is set for a higher target share, and Brent Strange steps into Jacksonville’s TE role after Engram’s departure. Moody’s five sleepers—Gordon II, Mims Jr., Lawrence, Bateman, Strange—anchor most rosters, with Bowman and Solak spotting bold Week 1 shocks. Maldonado backs Detroit’s Lions +1.5 at Green Bay to cap the opening weekend.

Week 1 leans into clock-bleed game plans and unders, with Pittsburgh against New York and a rust-tinged Rodgers leading Pittsburgh’s short-throw, run-heavy approach. Seattle hopes to upset San Francisco after a busy offseason, while Houston and LA look primed for another defensive slog. Bears face JJ McCarthy on the road, and Atlanta bets on Penix, London, and Bijan to carry early-season momentum. Fantasy angles hinge on backfield workloads, receiving targets, and savvy underdog props.