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Jones offers a reliable floor with pro-style efficiency and a respectable rushing floor. Expect more consistent pass volume than AR’s first-year schedule, especially in script-driven drives and red-zone attempts. Pair Jones with Pittman for safer Week-to-week upside, while AR remains a speculative stash for his ceiling. Two-paragraph analysis: Jones should stabilize Colts weeks 1-6, with 190-250 passing yards per game plus multiple TD opportunities, while AR’s explosiveness keeps him in leagues that reward ceiling plays.