Indianapolis’s 2025 outlook hinges on Anthony Richardson taking a meaningful Year 3 leap and the possibility that Daniel Jones can stabilize the quarterback position. Richardson’s injury-riddled, inconsistent 2024 profile looms large, but the Colts aim to unlock upside if he can connect on a higher percentage of passes and keep the rushing floor intact. Jones, a veteran reclamation candidate, adds a floor that could complement Richardson’s ceiling in a split-rotation scenario.

The supporting cast is the real fantasy lever: Pittman Jr. and Downs form a solid top-two, with Warren the in-roof rookie tight end and Granson providing an athletic, if inconsistent, middle-layer option. Jonathan Taylor, when healthy, remains the engine. The new defensive staff and a revamped secondary add some ancillary upside, while the updated offensive line could lift the unit into a top-10 potential with a quarterback who can stay on the field. The betting stance centers on 7.5 wins and x-factors like quarterback health and improvement from the young duo, with Warren peaking at modest rookie targets and the Colts threatening to surprise in the AFC South.