As fantasy football managers prepare for the 2025 season, understanding touchdown regression candidates among quarterbacks is crucial for drafting strategies. Notably, Drake Maye of the New England Patriots shows promise for a touchdown increase after a rookie season with just 15 touchdowns. With new receiver acquisitions like Stefon Diggs and a healthy supporting cast, Maye could eclipse 20 touchdowns this year.

Conversely, Sam Darnold's move to the Seattle Seahawks may lead to a regression. Despite a breakout year with 35 touchdowns in Minnesota, Seattle's run-heavy offense could limit his scoring opportunities. Similarly, Trevor Lawrence is poised for a rebound after an injury-shortened 2024, with improved receiver options suggesting a return to higher touchdown totals.

On the flip side, Bo Nix of the Denver Broncos could face a sophomore slump after a solid rookie season. The lack of robust receiving options might hinder his touchdown production. Bryce Young also presents an intriguing case, as he aims to build on a modest 15-touchdown season, bolstered by the addition of new targets. Lastly, Baker Mayfield's situation in Tampa Bay requires caution, as age and injury concerns loom over his key receivers.