Buffalo again stacks elite upside atop the AFC East, with Josh Allen steering a high‑floor, high‑ceiling attack. James Cook’s rushing progression and Osiris Torrence’s interior presence keep the run game humming, while Khalil Shakir offers a reliable secondary floor and Dalton Kincaid adds rookie upside at tight end. Dawson Knox and Palmer supply tight‑end and veteran flexibility, with the offense thriving on Allen’s explosiveness and a system that routinely turns field position into points.

Miami remains a fireworks show, but Tyreek Hill’s pace and efficiency showed signs of aging, forcing more steady contributions from Jaylen Waddle, De’Von Achane’s burst, and a middling passing game around a run‑first model. The defense front is ferocious, yet the secondary invites risk; Chop Robinson could be a breakout lever. New England leans into Drake Maye’s live arm and a veteran‑savvy supporting cast, while New York’s Jets hinge on Justin Fields’ legs and a top‑tier defense led by Sauce Gardner. The division stays top‑heavy, with Bills’ ceiling dwarfing the rest, making Bills over 12.5 a compelling primary play and the others more matchup‑driven bets.