Denver's 9.5-win 2025 over is a bold value after a 2024 season that flirted with double digits. Payton stacked a tougher defense with Greenlaw, Hufanga, and Barron, and upgraded the offense with Dobbins, Harvey, Engram, Mims, and Sutton’s continuity. Bo Nix gains a fuller grasp of the system, and altitude-rich home games buttress the playoff push. The schedule blends marquee tests with favorable home/date drops, making the over a compelling fantasy bet.