Houston enters the 2025 season as the AFC South favorite, anchored by C.J. Stroud and a dynamic offense that should be able to threaten teams with big plays and efficient drive sustainability. A defense that can hold its own and a favorable early slate could push Houston toward the division crown, giving fantasy managers a quarterback with a clear path to volume and scoring opportunities.

Meanwhile, Moe Moton of Bleacher Report projects Jacksonville to win the division, led by Trevor Lawrence’s aerial arsenal and a pair of top targets in Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, with Liam Coen injecting energy into the offense. Jacksonville’s pass rush—bolstered by Travon Walker and the threat of a solid defensive front—adds a wrinkle, but secondary questions and the league’s passing emphasis keep the race wide open. It’s a narrative where both teams offer compelling fantasy angles but come with sizable caveats about consistency and defense.

In fantasy terms, the divide between Stroud’s rising floor and Lawrence’s ceiling makes for a rich debate: which quarterback and supporting cast can maximize scoring in a passing-centric league while mitigating the risk of defensive vulnerabilities in the division?